Upgrade your browser!

Skip to Content

Videos / Random Videos /

Kevin Kelly: Predicting the next 5,000 ...

At the 2007 EG conference, Kevin Kelly shares a fun stat: The World Wide Web, as we know it, is only 5,000 days old. Now, Kelly asks, how can we predict what's coming in the next 5,000 days?

  • SOLSTAR
  • posted by SOLSTAR
  • Date 8/18/2008 9:30:38 PM
  • Views: 7706
  • All Ages
  • All Ages

Related Media

  • Video:Tardopril Rx
  • Tardopril Rx
  • The cure for the common moron.
  • Votes 4.17/5 - Views 2595 - Comments 5
  • Video:Robot Catcher
  • Robot Catcher
  • Never fail robot catcher. The theory is that in the fu. . .
  • Votes 4.45/5 - Views 2484 - Comments 13

View All

Your Macromedia's Flash Player
may be out of date

Click here to upgrade your flash player.

You may also get this message if you have disabled your javascript. You must enable it to view videos.



Trouble playing the video? Click here to download the original.

Rate This Video:
Rate it 0.5 Rate it 1.0 Rate it 1.5 Rate it 2.0 Rate it 2.5 Rate it 3.0 Rate it 3.5 Rate it 4.0 Rate it 4.5 Rate it 5.0

4.35 out of 5 based on 518 votes

Rating Results:
Earn XP by sharing this video!
learn more

Video URL:

Embedded Link:

Send This Video To A Cell Phone! Digg

15 Comments

Current View: 15 / Show all Comments

dr. feelgood : LVL 37: VP 4.5: said:

dr. feelgood

20 votes NegativePositive

471 days 16 hours ago...

the internets going to render alot of things useless

Tada : LVL 40: VP 4.8: said:

Tada

58 votes NegativePositive

471 days 14 hours ago...

^Like deodorant and pants.

Batman! : LVL 40: VP 4.8: said:

Batman!

14 votes NegativePositive

467 days 1 hour ago...

This guy glanced over the end of net neutrality pretty brazenly.

STONED->BC : LVL 24: VP 3.3: said:

STONED->BC

7 votes NegativePositive

465 days 12 hours ago...

Wow, This guy has a really good perspective at lookin into the internet...

ONE MACHINE...
DAMNIT ITS SKYNET...
Just like that fuckin Terminator 3 movie spreads that virus... LOL

watersnake6 : LVL 31: VP 4: said:

watersnake6

2 votes NegativePositive

465 days 11 hours ago...

All Hail the ONE socialist machine!

meh I say bring it on life needs some spice like skynet anyways

Arangaras : LVL 37: VP 4.5: said:

Arangaras

12 votes NegativePositive

465 days 11 hours ago...

Well, this was certainly amusing, however, I think predicting the future of the internet is like predicting the weather the next 5,000 days: It just can`t be done.

Ghodzilla : LVL 27: VP 3.6: said:

Ghodzilla

18 votes NegativePositive

465 days 10 hours ago...

So does this mean better porn?

softcock : LVL 31: VP 4: said:

softcock

28 votes NegativePositive

465 days 10 hours ago...

^no but it means billions of people can watch you slap yer tallywhacker

psychologyprofessor : LVL 33: VP 4.2: said:

psychologyprofessor

13 votes NegativePositive

465 days 10 hours ago...

We are Borg we are one...

(Meanwhile somewhere in the background...*fap fap fap fap*)

OK whos whacking it??




P.S. my Tallywhacker is always connected to the internets.

Omeko : LVL 39: VP 4.7: said:

Omeko

3 votes NegativePositive

465 days 9 hours ago...

The internet is for one thing and one thing only....
Free porn!

MANWHORE : LVL 34: VP 4.2: said:

MANWHORE

11 votes NegativePositive

465 days 7 hours ago...

I dont like the transperancy thing, most people think Im a nice sweet person, I dont want the world to know about all the hard core porn I watch.

In fact I think this guy is wrong, I think in 5000 days the internet will become one big slutty hoar, and there will be a chip inserted into our brain that pumps our favourite porn into our brains 24/7.

and 10000 days, all computers will come with a human robot "hand" extension that wanks you off, or an optional girating finger entension for the ladies and gays.

xillsm : LVL 33: VP 4.2: said:

xillsm

7 votes NegativePositive

465 days 5 hours ago...

I think the direction of this concept is fairly steered towards our future, the idea of global unity is pretty much implemented since the development of WWW (refer to Six Degrees of Separation). This technological advancement will happen sooner or later, this machine as suggested "The One" will be the center of everything. My only concern about the centralization is too much "transparency", soon the government can monitor everything we have done or will do. This machine sounds like the brain of Big Brother, pretty scary stuff.

mph_ragnarok : LVL 34: VP 4.2: said:

mph_ragnarok

0 votes NegativePositive

465 days 3 hours ago...

I think this guy is one of those over enthusiastic guys who aren`t actually scientists. if you look up his biography on wiki, he`s already had some whacky claims about his life experiences and just because he is a founder of a magazine ( which isn`t a very technical one, but rather a magazine that seems to squeal at any new handheld gadget) doesn`t mean he is a computer science expert or legendary programmer.
Also, the fact that he throws around meaningless numbers is not very encouraging.

But here`s what I think will happen to his theory. He says the internet will become a huge pool of all of humanity`s knowledge. He even makes the comparison that the net is something like a human brain.
The internet is actually much less interconnected that than. Not every computer is directly and freely connected to another. Large swaths of the internet are owned by companies like Level3, Comcast, AT&T and others. Tier 1 companies own all the large junctions and connections in the internet (because they built them). So instead of having each cellphone be a portal into what Kelly imagines to be a gigantic sphere of awesomeness, I really think that it will just be another paid service window , but of course the service provided will be much more vivid and colorful than it is today.

But mainly, the guy seems to think the internet is ONE MACHINE .Like a single computer... This is not how the internet works ! The internet is simply put : a place where people decide to pay others to let them connect their computers together. You don`t see interstate highways turning into a single MACHINE do u ? You don`t see market places, which grew into towns, and then metropolises acting as some sort of single machine do u ?

greenbud : LVL 1: VP 1: said:

greenbud

6 votes NegativePositive

465 days 1 hour ago...

i am the internet ! obey ! now ! NO DONT CLOSE WINDOW !!! fuck...

pulpy.wulpy : LVL 38: VP 4.6: said:

pulpy.wulpy

2 votes NegativePositive

465 days ago...

^rofl greenbud

^^mph_ragnarok what you said is essentially the same thing tho. a highway is a pathway for many users to have access to it.
i think what the guy refers to is one mega highway (if we are being metaphorical here). for example, one lane in a highway is part of a greater entity. and that greater entity is part of a greater entity... etc.

who knows. thers no prediction. i hate people who try predict things that are consistantly evolving. DID ANYONE PREDICT GOOGLE? Did anyone predict video was going to go onto the web and in such a fashion that it is accessible (now) by anyone with a basic set computer + flash. i think trying to predict too far into the future is too difficult. predicting it short term is possible but what the people who predict things forget is that its all these little impacts that add up and eventually further evolve the internet.

the safest evolution of the internet theory is quite simple in my perspective. the more computing power and bandwidth the more complex applications and the system becomes.

Post a Comment:

Avatar

The Spikedhumor Drawing!Drawing Coming Soon!
Prize
Entry Dates: 9/8/2007-9/14/2009

Recent Blog Posts

Gifs [11.27.09]

World's Strongest Beer Launch...

Farting Pig Causes Gas Leak F...

Woman In Labor Waits For Free...

Man Broke Into Home To Cook M...

Plastic Surgery Sale On Black...

Useless Robber Hands Himself ...

Gifs [11.26.09]

Hotlinks on Spiked

LA Kings Ice Girl Calendar Shoot

Top 10: Most Intimidating Stadiums

Worst DVD Bootleg Covers

The Top 10 Doomsday Prophecies

Enjoy Denise Milani Picture Galleries

Assassin's Creed 2 Cheats for the Xbox 360

Spiked Classics of 2008

TV Bloopers
  • 1
  • 2
  • 3
  • 4.6
  • 5
125342
ShapeSphere
View Profile
Level: 63
Voting Power: 5

Bill Maher: New Rules (10...
  • 1
  • 2
  • 3
  • 4.6
  • 5
152976
truth-is-the-neme...
View Profile
Level: 40
Voting Power: 4.8

Ruddy Hell! - The Intelle...
  • 1
  • 2
  • 3
  • 4.3
  • 5
1485
johnpaulbland
View Profile
Level: 40
Voting Power: 4.8

Harry And Paul - Nelson M...
  • 1
  • 2
  • 3
  • 4.4
  • 5
2439
johnpaulbland
View Profile
Level: 40
Voting Power: 4.8

Japanese Straw Man
  • 1
  • 2
  • 3
  • 4.6
  • 5
144531
ShapeSphere
View Profile
Level: 63
Voting Power: 5

Prince of Persia
  • 1
  • 2
  • 3
  • 4.4
  • 5
275024
Mahstar
View Profile
Level: 12
Voting Power: 2.1

Palin and Mccain Think Th...
  • 1
  • 2
  • 3
  • 4.4
  • 5
122159
tt112
View Profile
Level: 8
Voting Power: 1.7

USA 2008: Vote Rigging An...
  • 1
  • 2
  • 3
  • 4.2
  • 5
62359
setfree69
View Profile
Level: 11
Voting Power: 2

Purgatory IronWorks, Just...
  • 1
  • 2
  • 3
  • 4.6
  • 5
221868
purgatoryironwork...
View Profile
Level: 31
Voting Power: 4

In Case You Forgot About ...
  • 1
  • 2
  • 3
  • 4.5
  • 5
1740
truth-is-the-neme...
View Profile
Level: 40
Voting Power: 4.8

Spikedhumor's Weekly Pict...
  • 1
  • 2
  • 3
  • 4.6
  • 5
39032
InsayneJayne
View Profile
Level: 65
Voting Power: 5

Grizzley Bear Fight
  • 1
  • 2
  • 3
  • 4.3
  • 5
253263
TheRepostPolice
View Profile
Level: 37
Voting Power: 4.5

DIY Gecko Feet
  • 1
  • 2
  • 3
  • 4.6
  • 5
154226
boldfart
View Profile
Level: 40
Voting Power: 4.8

Republicans of Pennsylvan...
  • 1
  • 2
  • 3
  • 4.1
  • 5
241969
expresh
View Profile
Level: 37
Voting Power: 4.5

TASER XREP (Extended Rang...
  • 1
  • 2
  • 3
  • 4.2
  • 5
182536
KUDZU
View Profile
Level: 39
Voting Power: 4.7

Taser X26

  • 1
  • 2
  • 3
  • 4.0
  • 5
263546
KUDZU
View Profile
Level: 39
Voting Power: 4.7

Ingenius College Prank
  • 1
  • 2
  • 3
  • 4.1
  • 5
146389
Lostprophet
View Profile
Level: 37
Voting Power: 4.5

To Catch A Predator- Pass...
  • 1
  • 2
  • 3
  • 4.7
  • 5
397627
Humbert
View Profile
Level: 23
Voting Power: 3.2