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Kevin Kelly: Predicting the next 5,000 ...

At the 2007 EG conference, Kevin Kelly shares a fun stat: The World Wide Web, as we know it, is only 5,000 days old. Now, Kelly asks, how can we predict what's coming in the next 5,000 days?

  • SOLSTAR
  • posted by SOLSTAR
  • Date 8/18/2008 9:30:38 PM
  • Views: 3771
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15 Comments

Current View: 15 / Show all Comments

dr. feelgood : LVL 37: VP 4.5: said:

dr. feelgood

20 votes NegativePositive

111 days 23 hours ago...

the internets going to render alot of things useless

Tada : LVL 40: VP 4.8: said:

Tada

57 votes NegativePositive

111 days 22 hours ago...

^Like deodorant and pants.

Batman! : LVL 40: VP 4.8: said:

Batman!

14 votes NegativePositive

107 days 9 hours ago...

This guy glanced over the end of net neutrality pretty brazenly.

STONED->BC : LVL 24: VP 3.3: said:

STONED->BC

7 votes NegativePositive

105 days 19 hours ago...

Wow, This guy has a really good perspective at lookin into the internet...

ONE MACHINE...
DAMNIT ITS SKYNET...
Just like that fuckin Terminator 3 movie spreads that virus... LOL

watersnake6 : LVL 31: VP 4: said:

watersnake6

2 votes NegativePositive

105 days 18 hours ago...

All Hail the ONE socialist machine!

meh I say bring it on life needs some spice like skynet anyways

Arangaras : LVL 37: VP 4.5: said:

Arangaras

12 votes NegativePositive

105 days 18 hours ago...

Well, this was certainly amusing, however, I think predicting the future of the internet is like predicting the weather the next 5,000 days: It just can`t be done.

Ghodzilla : LVL 27: VP 3.6: said:

Ghodzilla

18 votes NegativePositive

105 days 18 hours ago...

So does this mean better porn?

softcock : LVL 31: VP 4: said:

softcock

28 votes NegativePositive

105 days 18 hours ago...

^no but it means billions of people can watch you slap yer tallywhacker

psychologyprofessor : LVL 33: VP 4.2: said:

psychologyprofessor

13 votes NegativePositive

105 days 17 hours ago...

We are Borg we are one...

(Meanwhile somewhere in the background...*fap fap fap fap*)

OK whos whacking it??




P.S. my Tallywhacker is always connected to the internets.

Omeko : LVL 39: VP 4.7: said:

Omeko

3 votes NegativePositive

105 days 16 hours ago...

The internet is for one thing and one thing only....
Free porn!

MANWHORE : LVL 34: VP 4.2: said:

MANWHORE

11 votes NegativePositive

105 days 15 hours ago...

I dont like the transperancy thing, most people think Im a nice sweet person, I dont want the world to know about all the hard core porn I watch.

In fact I think this guy is wrong, I think in 5000 days the internet will become one big slutty hoar, and there will be a chip inserted into our brain that pumps our favourite porn into our brains 24/7.

and 10000 days, all computers will come with a human robot "hand" extension that wanks you off, or an optional girating finger entension for the ladies and gays.

xillsm : LVL 33: VP 4.2: said:

xillsm

7 votes NegativePositive

105 days 12 hours ago...

I think the direction of this concept is fairly steered towards our future, the idea of global unity is pretty much implemented since the development of WWW (refer to Six Degrees of Separation). This technological advancement will happen sooner or later, this machine as suggested "The One" will be the center of everything. My only concern about the centralization is too much "transparency", soon the government can monitor everything we have done or will do. This machine sounds like the brain of Big Brother, pretty scary stuff.

mph_ragnarok : LVL 34: VP 4.2: said:

mph_ragnarok

0 votes NegativePositive

105 days 11 hours ago...

I think this guy is one of those over enthusiastic guys who aren`t actually scientists. if you look up his biography on wiki, he`s already had some whacky claims about his life experiences and just because he is a founder of a magazine ( which isn`t a very technical one, but rather a magazine that seems to squeal at any new handheld gadget) doesn`t mean he is a computer science expert or legendary programmer.
Also, the fact that he throws around meaningless numbers is not very encouraging.

But here`s what I think will happen to his theory. He says the internet will become a huge pool of all of humanity`s knowledge. He even makes the comparison that the net is something like a human brain.
The internet is actually much less interconnected that than. Not every computer is directly and freely connected to another. Large swaths of the internet are owned by companies like Level3, Comcast, AT&T and others. Tier 1 companies own all the large junctions and connections in the internet (because they built them). So instead of having each cellphone be a portal into what Kelly imagines to be a gigantic sphere of awesomeness, I really think that it will just be another paid service window , but of course the service provided will be much more vivid and colorful than it is today.

But mainly, the guy seems to think the internet is ONE MACHINE .Like a single computer... This is not how the internet works ! The internet is simply put : a place where people decide to pay others to let them connect their computers together. You don`t see interstate highways turning into a single MACHINE do u ? You don`t see market places, which grew into towns, and then metropolises acting as some sort of single machine do u ?

greenbud : LVL 1: VP 1: said:

greenbud

6 votes NegativePositive

105 days 8 hours ago...

i am the internet ! obey ! now ! NO DONT CLOSE WINDOW !!! fuck...

pulpy.wulpy : LVL 38: VP 4.6: said:

pulpy.wulpy

2 votes NegativePositive

105 days 8 hours ago...

^rofl greenbud

^^mph_ragnarok what you said is essentially the same thing tho. a highway is a pathway for many users to have access to it.
i think what the guy refers to is one mega highway (if we are being metaphorical here). for example, one lane in a highway is part of a greater entity. and that greater entity is part of a greater entity... etc.

who knows. thers no prediction. i hate people who try predict things that are consistantly evolving. DID ANYONE PREDICT GOOGLE? Did anyone predict video was going to go onto the web and in such a fashion that it is accessible (now) by anyone with a basic set computer + flash. i think trying to predict too far into the future is too difficult. predicting it short term is possible but what the people who predict things forget is that its all these little impacts that add up and eventually further evolve the internet.

the safest evolution of the internet theory is quite simple in my perspective. the more computing power and bandwidth the more complex applications and the system becomes.

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